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WASHINGTON In a hypothetical general election matchup Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton would crush Republican Chris Christie in his home state of New Jersey, according to a new Rutgers-Eagleton poll.

Thats right, New Jersey. The state where Christie is governor. The state where he was born and grew up and has spent his whole political career.

Ex-Secretary of State Clinton leads Governor Christie in the Garden State by 49 to 39 percent, under the latest Rutgers-Eagleton results. Thats consistent with previous findings from the same pollsters. Clinton has led Christie by double digits for most of 2014.

Perhaps worse for Christie, his New Jersey favorability ratings lag Clintons as well. Hes 12 points behind there. Fifty-six percent of state residents have a favorable opinion of Clinton, while 44 percent have a favorable opinion of their governor.

So is this survey bad news for Christie, or what?

Wed optfor or what." Obviously, its not good news for a GOP governor whos thinking of running for president. But its not an awful indication, either.

First off, its one poll series and its early. Peoples feelings about presidential prospects at this stage arent fully set. As we noted, Rutgers-Eagletons findings here have been stable for most of the year. But just about one year ago, in January 2014, this poll showed Clinton up by 21 points, 55 to 34 percent. So in that context, the current margin is good news for the New Jersey governor. Hes catching up!

Second, he remains New Jerseys favorite Republican, at least among GOP voters.

Asked who theyd like to see win the nomination, Republican respondents in this poll named Christie 32 percent of the time. Mitt Romney was the only other possible candidate who broke into double-digits, at 10 percent. Jeb Bush, a likely 2016 rival for Christie, only scored 6 percent.

Christie must win the nomination before he can contest the general election. If he trailed other Republicans in his home state, that would indeed have been a poll disaster.

Continued here:
Hillary Clinton leads Chris Christie in New Jersey. Sign for 2016?

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WASHINGTON -- Hillary Clinton has all but been declared the 2016 Democratic nominee. But even a front-runner has to get to the finish line against a field of competitors determined to trip her up.Campaigns have a way of making leading candidatesadapt their positions and talk about issues they'd rather avoid, even as they try to stick to their predetermined message. Clinton will be no exception.

As formidable as she looks right now, there are several politicians playing with the idea of running against her. Former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb announced earlier this month that hes forming an exploratory committee. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who is registered as an independent and describes himself as a socialist, caucuses with Democrats in the Senate and is considering a campaign. Outgoing Maryland Gov. Martin OMalley has said hes weighing a campaign and will likely announce a decision in the spring. Plus, there is Vice President Joe Biden, who has signaled hell likely stand aside if Clinton runs, but has made little secret of the fact that he would love to drop vice from his title.

Webb and Biden are moderates who could weaken Clinton's sales pitch that she's the only Democrat in the field who is centrist enough to win a general election.

But the politician who might be the most disruptive is one who insists she isn't running. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warrenhas been consistent in saying she won't be a candidate, but that hasn't stopped her fans from encouraging her to challenge Clinton from the left.

Warren is already creatinguncomfortable questionsfor Clinton, pushing her -- and the party -- to address progressives' concerns about income inequality and the power of Wall Street. Warren ruffled feathers in her own party earlier this month when she denounced language in the budget bill that rolled back financial regulations in the Dodd-Frank law. Warren assailed big banks for trying to make risky gambles backed by taxpayer dollars. She singled out Citigroup for criticism -- a firm whose executives were major donors to Clinton's Senate and presidential campaigns.

In Elizabeth Warrens case, if she were to enter the race, she will enter with a pretty big megaphone," said Peter Ubertaccio, a political science professor at Stonehill College in Massachusetts. I think shes more influential by not running and by staying just coy enough, he said. Shes more influential by staying in the Senate, being a superstar in her party and by not having to worry about the mechanics of a presidential campaign. He added, Warren has a really unique and unusual platform right now.

Even as a non-candidate, Warren can keep Clinton on the defensive. If Warren weighs in on a piece of financial legislation or consumer-protection issue, Clinton will be asked if she agrees with the senator.

For Clinton -- who appears to be putting together a presidential campaign that is more disciplinedthan her last -- losing control of her campaign message is dangerous. She doesn't want to create sound bites or campaign positions that can be used against her in the general election. If there are candidates trying to tug her farther to the left, it will be difficult to avoid engaging them.

Party infighting from primaries can create some of the most destructive weapons that get used in a general election. Democrats were happy to repeat Republican criticism of Mitt Romney in 2012 for his time spent working in venture capital. Republicans would gladly return the favor in 2016, using both Warren's arguments and Clinton's responses as ammunition.

Warren isnt the only possible force that will be pulling Clinton to the left. Sanders also enjoys the megaphone that comes with being in the Senate. Plus, hes taking over as the top Democrat on the Senate Budget Committee, so his thoughts on a range of government programs will be fodder for news stories.

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Hillary Clinton 2016: The Democrats Who Could Hurt Her With The Party Base