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WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Heading into the first debate of the 2024 presidential campaign some four months before Election Day, Donald Trump is viewed more positively than President Joe Biden across a range of measures, though neither candidate has a favorable image overall. Part of Trumps advantage stems from the much more positive reviews the former president receives from his own party faithful than Biden receives from his.

These findings are from a June 3-23 Gallup poll that began several days after Trump was convicted of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in New York.

The poll finds that about twice as many Republicans are pleased with Trump being the GOP nominee as Democrats are with Biden leading their partys ticket.

Overall, less than half of Americans view either candidate favorably, think either has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have, and say they agree with either on the issues that are most important to them.

While Biden and Trump -- the two oldest major party candidates to seek the U.S. presidency -- are separated by just three years in age, Americans perceive Bidens advanced age as a far greater liability. Biden is also viewed as too liberal by a majority of Americans, whereas public opinion of Trumps ideology is mixed.

Republicans (79%) are nearly twice as likely as Democrats (42%) to say they are pleased with their partys nominee. A majority of Democrats (56%) would prefer another candidate.

In the summer of 2020, when Trump and Biden first ran against each other, Republicans views of Trump were similar to how they are now. Democrats were more positive about Biden four years ago, with 56% satisfied, though they were still far less positive about him than Republicans were about Trump.

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Gallup has not regularly tracked this sentiment, but several readings provide some context for the latest findings. After Hillary Clinton secured the nomination at the Democratic National Convention in 2016, 64% of Democrats said they were pleased she was their candidate. In a similar question that asked if partisans were satisfied (rather than pleased) with their partys nominee in 2012, 84% of Democrats were satisfied with Barack Obama, who was running as an incumbent.

On the Republican side, 45% of Republicans were pleased with Trump in 2016 after the GOP convention, and 66%were satisfied with Mitt Romney when he became their party's presumptive nominee in 2012.

Both Biden and Trump are viewed unfavorably by majorities of Americans, but Trumps favorability shows improvement, while Bidens has worsened. Trumps favorable rating (46%) has increased by four percentage points since the prior reading in December and is the highest for him since April 2020. At the same time, Bidens favorable rating has dipped by the same four-point margin to 37%, his lowest since 2007, when he was unknown to many Americans.

Leading up to the 2020 election, Bidens and Trumps favorable ratings were no more than four points apart, and more recently, in two 2023 readings, the ratings of the two men were tied. Similarly, in May, Gallups scalometer measure found Biden and Trump tied in favorability.

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Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is viewed favorably by 38% of Americans, which is 14 points lower than his prior rating in December. Kennedys favorability dropped the most among Democrats (-26 points) and independents (-13 points) and the least among Republicans (-7 points).

Republicans offer a more positive assessment of their partys candidate than Democrats do -- 91% of Republicans view Trump favorably, and 81% of Democrats view Biden favorably. Independents view Trump and Kennedy more favorably than Biden.

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Less than half of Americans view Biden or Trump as having the personality and leadership qualities a president needs. The 46% of U.S. adults who think Trump possesses these traits includes 87% of Republicans, 43% of independents and 10% of Democrats.

Fewer Americans, 38%, think Biden possesses such personality and leadership qualities. Eighty-one percent of Democrats, 35% of independents and 4% of Republicans believe Biden embodies these characteristics.

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In October 2019, as Trump sought reelection, 38% of Americans said he had the personality and leadership qualities a president needs. At that time, the public was evenly divided over whether Biden possessed these traits, with 49% saying he did.

Americans are evenly divided over whether they agree or disagree with Trump on the issues that matter most to them, with 49% taking each position. When it comes to their agreement with Bidens stances on the issues they value most, 37% of U.S. adults say they agree with him, while 61% disagree.

More than nine in 10 Republicans, 93%, agree with Trump on key issues, while 81% of Democrats say the same of Biden. Independents are more aligned with Trump (46%) than Biden (34%) on issues.

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At 81, Biden is three years older than Trump, who turned 78 this month. Despite their similar ages, Americans are nearly twice as likely to say Biden is too old to be president (67%) as say this about Trump (37%). These results are in line with prior Gallup polling showing that 31% of Americans are willing to vote for a presidential candidate over age 80 and 63% are willing to vote for a candidate over age 70.

Half of respondents polled in the June survey were asked whether each candidate is too old to be president; the other half of respondents were asked if they are concerned that each candidate is too old to be president. The results are similar, with 59% very concerned about Bidens age versus 18% about Trumps. When factoring in those who are somewhat concerned, a combined 76% are concerned Biden is too old for the job, while 38% are concerned about Trump.

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Bidens age is not just a potential liability among Republicans and independents -- majorities of whom say he is too old and are very concerned about it -- but also among a sizable minority of Democrats. Forty-four percent of Democrats say Biden is too old, and 31% are very worried about it.

Prior to Trump (age 70 in 2017) and Biden (age 78 in 2021), the oldest president had been Ronald Reagan, who was 69 at the start of his presidency in 1981 and 77 when he left office in 1989.

When asked to characterize the candidates political ideology, Americans largely say Biden is too liberal. Fifty-six percent see him this way, three in 10 say his views are about right, and 9% consider him too conservative.

By contrast, a 44% plurality of Americans think Trump is too conservative, 38% say his views are about right, and 10% say he is too liberal.

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This is the first time Gallup has measured public perceptions of Bidens ideology, but the second for Trump. The first was measured in 2019, about halfway through Trumps presidency. At that time, the public was evenly divided between seeing him as too conservative (39%) and about right (38%), while 17% thought he was too liberal.

Most partisans say their presidential candidates views are about right, but more Republicans feel this way about Trump (78%) than Democrats do about Biden (69%).

Political independents are also more likely to characterize Trumps politics as about right than Bidens, at 34% and 25%, respectively. The majority of independents (56%) think Biden is too liberal, while 43% say Trump is too conservative.

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With both candidates well-known to Americans, the stakes are high ahead of the first presidential debate of 2024, as Biden and Trump both have to overcome significant obstacles with the public. Biden appears to be at a bigger disadvantage ahead of the debate as his approval rating has been stagnating at a historically weak 38% and his favorable rating has now fallen to the same level.

Americans believe they are less aligned with Biden than Trump on the issues they view as most important and on their political ideology. Although the candidates are close in age, Bidens age is more of a barrier for voters than Trumps, and the debate will be a key moment for him to prove to a large national audience that he is up to the job of being president at an advanced age.

Although Republicans are more united in their positivity about Trump than Democrats are about Biden, this may be partly due to the timing of the latest poll, which came on the heels of Trumps felony convictions and could have served to rally his supporters. Meanwhile, the campaign trail has not been kind to Kennedy, whose favorable rating has tumbled over the past six months, particularly among Democrats and independents. Kennedy did not qualify for the debate.

The race is far from over, with more than four months remaining until Election Day -- including the debates and both parties national nominating conventions, which have the potential to shift Americans views.

To stay up to date with the latest Gallup News insights and updates, follow us on X @Gallup.

Learn more about how the Gallup Poll Social Series works.

View complete question responses and trends (PDF download).

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Age, Issues Working to Trump's Advantage Pre-Debate - Gallup

Donald Trump issued an angry and confrontational Fathers Day message Sunday, using the occasion to lash out at his enemies and issue a hyperbolic plea for votes in Novembers presidential election.

The former president, 78, hit a familiar note in the all-caps missive, writing on Truth Social: HAPPY FATHERS DAY TO ALL, INCLUDING THE RADICAL LEFT DEGENERATES THAT ARE RAPIDLY BRINGING THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA INTO THIRD WORLD NATION STATUS WITH THEIR MANY ATTEMPTS AT TRYING TO INFLUENCE OUR SACRED COURT SYSTEM INTO BREAKING TO THEIR VERY SICK AND DANGEROUS WILL.

WE NEED STRENGTH AND LOYALTY TO OUR COUNTRY, AND ITS WONDERFUL CONSTITUTION, he added.

EVERYTHING WILL BE ON FULL DISPLAY COME NOVEMBER 5TH, 2024, he wrote. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!!

Fathers Day comes just days after Trumps 78th birthday, which he celebrated at a quasi-campaign rally at the Palm Beach Country Club. His entire nuclear family issued him glowing praise over the weekendexcept for his wife, Melania Trump, who was noticeably silent, at least publicly.

Trump did not mention any of his five children during his Fathers Day rant, nor did he write about his feelings for his own family. He did, however, mark the day by nodding to the neck-and-neck election currently unfoldingcalling Nov. 5 the most important day in the history of our country.

The former president spent much of Sunday on the outskirts of Detroit, where he visited a historically Black church which was conspicuously filled with white worshippers.

One reporter present for Trumps speech said he used much of his roundtable time to tell the crowd about his commitment to opposing LGBTQ causes.

Here is the original post:
Trump Lets Loose With Unhinged Father's Day Message - The Daily Beast

A vendor sells 2024 Donald Trump campaign souvenirs at the Turning Point Action USA conference in West Palm Beach, Flo., in 2023. Giorgio Viera/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

Trump rallies involve a lot of merch vendors sometimes set up overnight before a rally, preparing for the huge crowds. There are hats, socks, flags, buttons and, especially, T-shirts.

I go to a lot of these rallies. In the middle of it all, Ive gotten a little obsessed with this one particular shirt.

Miranda Barbee bought one in the hours before a Trump rally on the beach in Wildwood, New Jersey, and held it up, reading aloud.

I just bought this shirt for $20. It says Biden sucks, Kamala - what does that even swallows? I didn't even see the front! That is so funny. She flipped it around. And the back says, F**k Joe and the Hoe.

She and the friend she came with laughed.

I honestly didn't know the front said that, Barbee added. But I think that's hilarious.

These shirts have been sold prominently at recent rallies vendors who specialize in these particular shirts often stand right outside the entrances and exits, catching the eyes of the streams of Trump fans.

Theyre not official campaign apparel. When asked for comment, a campaign spokesperson didnt address the shirts directly, instead pointing to a Biden official campaign shirt (slogan: Free on Wednesdays) that pokes fun at Donald Trumps legal troubles.

Still, I wanted to know: why? Why do these shirts exist, and whos buying them? Sooner or later, I had spent so much time thinking about it, I wanted to know if there was anything to be learned here.

"The Hillary Nutcracker & Corkscrew Bill", a boxed set of a nutcracker and bottle corkscrew were available for sale during the 2009 holiday season. Paul J. Richards/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

Sexism isnt exactly new in politics.

Consider Americas decades of Hillary Clinton hatred. One T-shirt slogan around the time of her 2008 presidential campaign read I wish Hillary had married O.J., referring to O.J. Simpson who famously faced trial for his wife's murder. He was acquitted.

And then there was the Hillary Clinton nutcrackerdescribed gleefully by MSNBCs Willie Geist in 2007 as a Hillary doll with serrated stainless steel thighs that, well, crack nuts. To this, Tucker Carlson then also of MSNBC responded, "When she comes on television, I involuntarily cross my legs" and declared that he would be buying one.

Over the years, Michelle Obama, Nancy Pelosi and Sarah Palin would also be the targets of demeaning, often obscene merchandise.

But still, the open lewdness of the Trump t-shirts. Thats new, right? I asked Tim Miller, a Republican strategist who worked for Jon Huntsman and Jeb Bushs presidential campaigns.

It's not like you couldn't find a guy standing outside the RNC in 2012 selling some misogynistic Hillary stuff. It was there, but just the intensity of it, he said, just how crass it is, it's definitely a category difference.

That crassness has been around from the beginning at Trump rallies. As my colleague Don Gonyea reported in 2016, vendors then were selling shirts reading, Hillary sucks, but not the way Monica does.

What's different about Donald Trump is that his campaign is not particularly worried about this type of misogyny being attached to his campaign, because at least to date, it hasn't hurt him that much, explained Kelly Dittmar, director of research for the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University.

A vendor sells t-shirts at a May 1, 2024, Trump rally in Freeland, Michigan. Danielle Kurtzleben/NPR hide caption

One example: Even after a jury found him civilly liable for sexual abuse last year, polls didnt budge.

Part of whats going on is partisan, Dittmar adds a reflection of an existing gender gap.

I think there's more kind of internal policing among Democrats about the fact that this is contrary to our brand and it hurts us, by the way, with the constituency that is our most reliable one, which is women.

Furthermore, she says, this kind of language is often particularly directed at women of color, like Kamala Harris. The word ho' on the shirt undeniably makes this about race as well as sex.

Meanwhile, Dittmar says, the Republican base is majority-men.

And of course, she said, of the women who do support [Republicans], they are more likely to say that this is just, you know, a joke.

That was true of voter Christena Kincaid, who talked to me just after she had bought one of these shirts at a rally in Freeland, Michigan.

It's just a slang. That's all it is, she said. It's a goofy it is a little over the top. I get it. But they're just words.

That idea, that theyre just words, fits with Trumps brand as an anti-PC crusader who tells it like it is, which has involved loudly insulting women, from Clinton to Megyn Kelly to Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar.

But also, the idea that words dont matter that much that echoes the response to the infamous Access Hollywood tape, which Trumps defenders shrugged off as locker room talk.

Rina Shah is a political strategist and a former Republican congressional aide, and a Republican who opposes Trump. She told me she thinks the shirts very much matter.

If we're allowing our kids to see this visually, even if it's contained at a rally, the person who wears that shirt at that rally isn't just going to wear that one day, she said. This flavor of incivility is permeating our nation's social fabric.

I did ask Bob Berger, who I met at that Freeland, Mich., rally, about wearing the shirt outside of a rally.

Are you worried about offending anyone when you wear it? I asked.

No.

"Do you think you'll be careful where you wear it? Like around, I don't know, grandkids?" I continued.

"Oh, maybe around the grandkids. I probably would be," he replied.

What Rina Shah said about Trumps incivility trickling down to his supporters seems true, whether its via clothing or simply their willingness to get nasty in talking about Biden and Harris.

As much as I hope Joe Biden gets arrested, whatever, is not in office anymore. I'm like, we're still stuck with the bitch. I dont want her either, said Barbee, the voter I met at that New Jersey rally, referring to Harris.

I asked her: Does that language feel demeaning to you as a young woman using words like bitch?

I mean, she is a bitch, she responded.

On top of that, you can also see all this the T-shirt slogans, the cuss words, Trumps vulgarity as a marker of a gap in American politics: a yawning partisan gap in attitudes about gender.

Those differences in gender beliefs are going to make it more permissible or not to put forth these types of messages without some sort of a backlash or pushing down, Dittmar of Rutgers University said.

Studies have found that Trump voters including women in 2016 were particularly likely to have beliefs that political scientists term hostile sexism. Furthermore, some found that these beliefs were prominent in a way they werent in 2012. Those hostile sexist beliefs include, for example, the idea that women are too easily offended.

Barbee, at that New Jersey rally, the voter who talked to me the longest about her shirt, echoed some of those beliefs.

I feel like feminism is becoming like a huge thing these days, but I also feel like it's people are overly sensitive, like they're reacting to things they shouldn't be reacting to.

Its an attitude thats been around for a long time. But her new T-shirt? That represented something new.

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What one vulgar Trump T-shirt reveals about his movement - NPR

Former President Donald Trump said the radical left is pushing the United States into becoming a third-world country in his Fathers Day social media post.

Happy Fathers Day to all, including the radical left degenerates that are rapidly bringing the United States of America into third world nation status with their many attempts at trying to influence our sacred court system into breaking to their very sick and dangerous will, the Truth Social post said in screaming, all-capital letters.

We need strength and loyalty to our country, and its wonderful constitution, he said. Everything will be on full display come Nov. 5, 2024 the most important day in the history of our country. Make America great again!!!

The former president was found guilty late last month of 34 felony counts in New York for falsifying business records to cover uphush money paid to porn actress Stormy Daniels.

It was the first of his four criminal cases to go to court. He still faces two cases relating to his efforts to overturn the 2020 election one in Washington and another in Georgia. He also faces charges over the handling of classified documents at his Florida Mar-a-Lago estate.

He has repeatedly railed against President Biden and the Democrats, saying they are behind the indictments and calling the cases election interference.

The presumptive Republican nominee has a history of using holiday social media posts to attack those he thinks have wronged him.

Last years Mothers Day post, for example, celebrated the Mothers, Wives and Lovers of the Radical Left Fascists, Marxists, and Communists who are doing everything within their power to destroy and obliterate our once great Country.

He also has used recent Christmas and Memorial Day posts for this purpose, writing in one post about his political rivals, may they rot in hell. Again, Merry Christmas!

Read more from the original source:
Trump wishes happy Father's Day to 'radical left degenerates' - Washington Times

Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times

Donald Trump and his closest allies are preparing a radical reshaping of American government if he regains the White House. Here are some of his plans for cracking down on immigration, directing the Justice Department to prosecute his adversaries, increasing presidential power, upending Americas economic policies, retreating militarily from Europe and unilaterally deploying troops to Democratic-run cities.

Mr. Trump is planning a massive expansion of his first-term crackdown on immigration if he returns to power in 2025. Among other things, he would:

Mr. Trumps top immigration adviser, Stephen Miller, said that a second Trump administration would seek a tenfold increase in the volume of deportations to more than a million per year.

He plans to reassign federal agents and the National Guard to immigration control. He would also enable the use of federal troops to apprehend migrants.

The Trump team plans to use military funds to build vast holding facilities to detain immigrants while their deportation cases progress.

He plans to revive safe third country agreements with Central American countries and expand them to Africa and elsewhere. The aim is to send people seeking asylum to other countries.

He plans to suspend the nations refugee program and once again bar visitors from mostly Muslim countries, reinstating a version of the travel ban that President Biden revoked in 2021.

His administration would declare that children born to undocumented parents were not entitled to citizenship and would cease issuing documents like Social Security cards and passports to them.

Mr. Trump has declared that he would use the powers of the presidency to seek vengeance on his perceived foes. His allies have developed a legal rationale to erase the Justice Departments independence from the president. Mr. Trump has suggested that he would:

As president, Mr. Trump pressed the Justice Department to investigate his foes. If re-elected, he has vowed to appoint a special prosecutor to go after Mr. Biden and his family.

He has cited the precedent of his own indictments to declare that if he became president again and someone challenged him politically, he could say, Go down and indict them.

Kash Patel, a Trump confidant, has threatened to target journalists for prosecution if Mr. Trump returns to power. The campaign later distanced Mr. Trump from the remarks.

Mr. Trump and his associates have a broad goal to alter the balance of power by increasing the presidents authority over every part of the federal government that currently operates independently of the White House. Mr. Trump has said that he will:

Congress has set up various regulatory agencies to operate independently from the White House. Mr. Trump has vowed to bring them under presidential control, setting up a potential court fight.

He has vowed to return to a system under which the president has the power to refuse to spend money that Congress has appropriated for programs the president doesnt like.

During Mr. Trumps presidency, he issued an executive order making it easier to fire career officials and replace them with loyalists. Mr. Biden rescinded it, but Mr. Trump has said that he would reissue it in a second term.

Mr. Trump has disparaged the career work force at agencies involved in national security and foreign policy as an evil deep state he intends to destroy.

Politically appointed lawyers in the first Trump administration sometimes raised objections to White House proposals. Several of his closest advisers are now vetting lawyers seen as more likely to embrace aggressive legal theories about the scope of his power.

At the risk of disrupting the economy in hopes of transforming it, Mr. Trump plans to impose new tariffs on most goods manufactured abroad. Economists say his broader agenda including on trade, deportations and taxes could cause prices to rise. He has said that he will:

Mr. Trump has said that he plans to impose a tariff on most goods made overseas, floating a figure of 10 percent for a new import tax. On top of raising prices for consumers, such a policy would risk a global trade war that hurts American exporters.

He has said that he will phase out all Chinese imports of electronics and other essential goods, and impose new rules to stop U.S. companies from making investments in China. The two countries are the largest economies in the world and exchange hundreds of billions of dollars of goods each year.

He has vowed to revive his deregulatory agenda and go further in curbing the so-called administrative state agencies that issue rules for corporations such as limits aimed at keeping the air and water clean and ensuring that food, drugs, cars and consumer products safe, but that can cut into business profits.

Mr. Trump has said he would extend the tax cuts from his 2017 tax law that are set to expire, including for all levels of personal income and for large estates. He also privately told business leaders he wants to further lower the corporate tax rate.

Mr. Trump has long made clear that he sees NATO, the countrys most important military alliance, not as a force multiplier with allies but as a drain on American resources by freeloaders. He has said he will:

While in office, he threatened to withdraw from NATO. On his campaign website, he says he plans to fundamentally re-evaluate NATOs purpose, fueling anxiety that he could gut or end the alliance.

He has claimed that he would end the war in Ukraine in a day. He has not said how, but he has suggested that he would have made a deal to prevent the war by letting Russia simply take Ukrainian lands.

Mr. Trump has been more clear about his plans for using U.S. military force closer to home. He has said that he would:

He has released a plan to fight Mexican drug cartels with military force. It would violate international law if the United States used armed forces on Mexicos soil without its consent.

While its generally illegal to use the military for domestic law enforcement, the Insurrection Act creates an exception. The Trump team would invoke it to use soldiers as immigration agents.

He came close to unleashing the active-duty military on racial justice protests that sometimes descended into riots in 2020 and remains attracted to the idea. Next time, he has said, he will unilaterally send federal forces to bring order to Democratic-run cities.

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If Trump Wins - The New York Times