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A trend-line is emerging in the polls that is buoying Republicans spirits for the Nov. 4 midterms beyond President Obamas unpopularity and a few key races turning in their favor, the numbers show GOP voters simply care about this election more than Democrats.

And that could translate to a sizable advantage in turnout next month.

A Fox News poll released last week showed 45 percent of Republicans described themselves as extremely interested in the election, compared with 30 percent of Democrats.

The results aligned with a recent Gallup poll also showing Republican and Republican-leaning voters far more interested in the midterms. Forty-four percent of Republicans described themselves as extremely motivated to vote, compared with just 25 percent of Democrats.

Surveys also indicate that, compared with past elections, interest among voters of both parties is low this year, making for an unpredictable election night. But GOP strategists say dissatisfaction among Americans with the direction of the country ultimately will boost their candidates.

Thats why you see Republican candidates having real momentum right now, said Andrea Bozek, the National Republican Congressional Committees communications director.

That Democrats are less enthused or motivated is expected, considering they typically turn out in low numbers in election years without a White House race.

But this year could be particularly unnerving for Democrats, considering the poll numbers raise doubts about their success in slowing the historical trend with get-out-the-vote efforts for such loyalists as young people, unmarried women and minorities. For instance, their participation dropped 21 percent from 2008, a presidential election year, to 2010, a midterm year, according to the nonpartisan Voter Participation Center.

Campaigns to keep Hispanic voters excited about going to the polls this year for Democratic candidates suffered a setback in September when President Obama decided to delay executive action on immigration, resulting in some of the countrys most influential Latino groups accusing him of caving to election-year politics.

We are bitterly disappointed in the president, said Frank Sharry, executive director of the group Americas Voice. The president and Senate Democrats have chosen politics over people.

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Will Democrats show up to vote? Polls point to GOP turnout advantage - VIDEO: Will Dems show up to polls? - Full ...

Getty Images President Obama on the phone at the White House on Oct. 8.

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) Here are five stories you should be reading Monday.

Democrats, diminished: With two weeks to go until Election Day, President Barack Obamas diminished standing with women is quickly becoming one of the biggest liabilities facing Democrats as they struggle to keep their majority in the Senate, Politico writes. The president is underwater with female voters in battleground states across the country, and that is making it harder for his party to take advantage of the gender gap, Politico writes, citing polling and Democratic strategists. Democrats need to win over female voters by a wider margin in battleground states like Colorado, Iowa, Alaska, North Carolina and New Hampshire, the piece says.

Words from Warren: One of those Senate races Iowas contest featuring Democrat Bruce Braley and Republican Joni Ernst is getting a little help from a very visible woman, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts. She stumped for Braley over the weekend, and took a jab at Ernsts alleged ties to conservative donors Charles and David Koch. I dont think the billionaires are [going] to decide the next senator from Iowa, Warren said, according to the Hill. I think you are going to decide. Braley and Ernst are neck and neck in polling for the seat, one of a handful that could decide Senate control.

Voters prefer Republicans: One of the latest polls about the midterm elections suggests Warren and her fellow Democrats are fighting an uphill battle. In the newest Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Annenberg survey, likely voters favored a Republican-led Congress over a Democratic one, 49% to 44%. Meanwhile, registered voters, a larger group than likely voters, also said they would prefer the election to produce a GOP-led Congress a first since the poll began asking five weeks ago. As The Wall Street Journal writes, the GOP held a lead of 45% to 43% on the question among registered voters.

Get ready for higher spending: Federal spending will be higher next year, writes budget expert Stan Collender in his latest Forbes column. Why? For these four reasons: the deficit is falling; pressure for more military spending; eagerness to eliminate the threat of automatic spending cuts; and Ebola. The four reasons for more spending next year could easily blend together, writes Collender. The [spending] caps could be raised to deal with ISIS and Ebola or funding for some department and agencies could be made exempt from sequestration. Both alternatives would, of course, increase the deficit.

Avoiding Congress on Iran: President Obama will do everything in his power to avoid letting Congress vote on a deal with Iran to halt its ability to make a nuclear weapon, if such a deal is struck. Thats according to the New York Times, which also writes the Iranians have signaled they would accept, at least temporarily, a suspension of sanctions that have cut their oil revenues and terminated their banking relationships with the West. The Times says the Treasury Department has concluded Obama has the authority to suspend the vast majority of those sanctions without seeking a vote by Congress.

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Capitol Report: Obamas standing with women hurts Senate Democrats

Maddow Explains Why Democrats Suck
MSNBC #39;s Rachel Maddow has become increasingly frustrated with the way Democratic congressional candidates have run their campaigns ahead of the November midterm elections. When she ...

By: Secular Talk

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Maddow Explains Why Democrats Suck - Video

As usual, the motherlode for Pennsylvania's gubernatorial candidates this November isn't in coal country or around the Marcellus Shale.

It's in and around Philadelphia.

The city and Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery counties account for more than 33 percent of Pennsylvania's registered voters, according to the latest totals.

"Victory in statewide elections run through the Philly suburbs," said Chris Borick, director of Muhlenberg College's Institute of Public Opinion. "The number of voters and their ability to swing makes them the Holy Grail of state politics."

And, in a less than encouraging re-election sign for Gov. Corbett, those once solidly Republican areas are no longer.

Democrats now account for more than 43 percent of voters in the counties, and own the registration edge in Bucks, Montgomery and Delaware. Republicans still hold the advantage in Chester, though even that lead is dwindling, the data shows.

"The Republicans have spent a significant amount of money and energy attacking the President," said John Cordisco, the Bucks County Democratic Committee chair. "I would have thought that would have an effect on the registration, which it has not."

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Suburban Democrats focused on GOTV - get out the vote

Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell was supposed to be cruising to re-election, but he's now in a serious contest against a non-partisan ticket. Mark Thiessen/AP hide caption

Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell was supposed to be cruising to re-election, but he's now in a serious contest against a non-partisan ticket.

This November, for the first time since Alaska became a state, the ballot won't include a Democratic candidate for governor. The Democrats had a candidate, Byron Mallott, but around Labor Day, he dropped out in order to sign up as a running mate for a non-partisan candidate named Bill Walker.

His decision to drop out was part of a negotiated deal between the Democrat and Walker, neither of whom had enough support on his own to beat the incumbent Republican, Sean Parnell.

At an event announcing the new Walker-Mallott "unity ticket," Mallott said that he had "forged a friendship," with Walker over the summer, on the campaign trail. And they realized they had a lot in common.

Still, the merger was potentially disturbing to the Democratic base, given that Walker was a registered Republican and a social conservative. In an ad partly paid for by the AFL-CIO, Mallott seems to be reassuring Democrats that he's sticking to his principles, even as he makes common cause with Walker.

Independent gubernatorial candidate Bill Walker greets Anchorage middle school students before a candidates forum in April. Walker used to be a registered Republican, but now he says he wants to move past party labels. Dan Joling/AP hide caption

Independent gubernatorial candidate Bill Walker greets Anchorage middle school students before a candidates forum in April. Walker used to be a registered Republican, but now he says he wants to move past party labels.

"I know deep down who I am, as does Bill, in terms of our core philosophies and core values and I'm absolutely comfortable in our ability to work together," Mallott says in the ad.

As part of the deal with the Democrats, Walker changed his voter registration from "Republican" to "undeclared." At a recent candidate debate, he emphasized his desire to get past party labels.

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In Alaska Race For Governor, Democrats Try An Unusual Tactic: Dropping Out