Archive for the ‘Democracy’ Category

Timeline: A Year of Democracy in Central and Southeast Europe | Reporting Democracy – Balkan Insight

DECEMBER

December 2 Kosovos Special Prosecution charges six people with involvement in the murder of former Kosovo Serb political party leader Oliver Ivanovic, who was shot dead in January 2018.

December 5 Bosnias parliament confirms Bosnian Serb politician Zoran Tegeltija as the new President of the Council of Ministers the state-level government ending a political impasse that has dragged on for more than a year since the last elections.

December 10 BIRN learns that the indictment for the murder of politician Oliver Ivanovic says two prominent Kosovo Serbs, Milan Radoicic and Zvonko Veselinovic, were leaders of a criminal group responsible for the killing, and accuses several policemen of aiding the crime.

December 13 Human Rights Watch savages Bosnian officials for their failure to reform a constitution that a key European Court of Human Rights ruling condemned as discriminatory exactly a decade ago.

December 13 Big parties in and outside the government join forces to block planned reforms of the countrys election law, adding weight to reports of rifts inside the governing coalition.

December 16 The liberal mayors of Bratislava, Budapest, Prague and Warsaw meet in the Hungarian capital to sign a symbolic Pact of Free Cities, vowing to create a pro-European, positive alliance and collectively seek EU funds directly from Brussels.

December 18 Albanian lawmakers adopt controversial media laws that many say will undermine press freedom in the country, defying calls from the European Commission and other bodies to step back.

December 22 Romanians pay homage to the more than 1,100 people killed during the 1989 revolution that freed the country from more than 40 years of totalitarian rule.

December 22 In Croatia, a tight presidential election race ends with two contenders, former Prime Minister Zoran Milanovic and incumbent President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic, going into a run-off in January. Experts say conservative Grabar-Kitarovic is best placed to win.

December 24 Dragan Lukac, interior minister of Bosnias Republika Srpska, slaps an opposition MP who confronts him during a debate on a sealed document concerning Bosnias relations with NATO, triggering outrage from opposition lawmakers.

December 24 In North Macedonia, a courts failure to meet a deadline to issue a verdict could mean that the two-year trial of fugitive ex-prime minister Nikola Gruevski for abuse of office may need to restart from the beginning.

December 25 In Kosovo, talks between the two biggest parties hit a brick wall, raising the prospect of political paralysis and possible new elections.

December 26 Across the Balkans, liberal-sounding access to information laws vital for a free media have yet to bring real transparency to traditionally secretive countries, a BIRN report shows.

December 26 In a new twist to Kosovos complicated post-election coalition talks, the second-placed Democratic League of Kosovo says it will support a Vetevendosje-led minority government without joining it.

December 27 Lawmakers in Montenegro pass a controversial law on freedom of religion amid chaotic scenes in parliament, despite fierce objections from the Serbian Orthodox Church and pro-Serbian opposition parties. The law is supported by the ruling Democratic Party of Socialists, the ethnic minority Albanian, Bosniak and Croats parties and one opposition party, the Social Democratic Party. Thousands rally in the capital and other towns.

December 28 Leaders of North Macedonias two main parties are reportedly close to finalising an agreement on forming a technical caretaker government, 100 days ahead of early elections in April 2020.

December 30 In North Macedonia, the formation of a caretaker government ahead of April snap elections runs into problems because the opposition VMRO DPMNE party proposes an army officer as interior minister, which is not allowed under the constitution.

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Timeline: A Year of Democracy in Central and Southeast Europe | Reporting Democracy - Balkan Insight

The Irish Times view on the year ahead: Democracy put to the test – The Irish Times

In some respects, 2020 is an unusually predictable year. The United Kingdom will leave the European Union on January 31st. There will be a general election in Ireland in the early months of the year and, in the North, the devolved political institutions will either be renewed and stabilised or face definitive collapse.

In the United States, Donald Trump will go on trial before the Senate and will almost certainly be acquitted of very grave and well-founded charges. The contest within the Democratic Party will become much more focused after the Super Tuesday primaries in California, Texas and other states on March 3rd. The process will produce a challenger to take on Trump in a presidential election in November that will leave its mark on world politics for a generation. There will be some welcome distraction in the form of the Euro 2020 football tournament and the summer Olympics in Tokyo.

And the Earth will continue to burn: there is little doubt that 2020 will be one of the hottest years on record. By the time the United Nations climate change summit takes place in Glasgow in November, we will be almost another year closer to irreversible damage to the natural systems on which human life depends.

It is somewhat ironic that, most probably in July, Nasa will launch the Mars 2020 rover. Its mission will be, in part, to determine whether Mars was once habitable for organic life forms before they were killed off by drastic climatic and atmospheric changes. If similar questions are not to be asked about Earth, the new year will have to be a much more decisive one than its predecessor.

The great dilemma of our time is that, on the one hand, the climate crisis cannot be tackled without rational, stable governments committed to joint action through global institutions and agreements. Yet, on the other hand, the big political shifts of our time have been towards unstable and irrational governments mobilising narrow and divisive forms of ethnic nationalism, isolationism and exceptionalism.

On the positive side, the green deal put forward by the incoming European Commission to make Europe the worlds first climate-neutral continent by 2050 is a serious response to the crisis. But it is vital that it is backed in 2020, not just through the EUs collective efforts and resources but through urgent action by member states themselves. Ireland, a shameful laggard on climate change, needs to transform itself into what it pretends to be: a global leader in confronting the crisis.

It is the climate crisis, more than any other single issue, that gives the US elections an epochal importance. Trump has been a malign presence in so many ways, but his most outrageous transgression of decency has been his withdrawal of the US from the Paris climate accord. In the long run if there is one 2020 will be seen as the year in which the worlds biggest economy, and worst carbon polluter, either embraced its basic responsibilities to humanity or turned decisively towards denial and destruction.

A win for Trump will be a terrible signal that the tide of reaction is still coming in. His defeat will be a victory for democracy and survival.

It is also the climate crisis that exposes just what a tragic waste of time and energy Brexit really is. Boris Johnson will have his moment of triumph at the end of January and there will no doubt be fireworks and starbursts of hyperinflated rhetoric about freedom. But the grim reality is that Britain is not going to be liberated not least because it was never oppressed.

Its attempt to find a place for itself in the world will drag on through 2020, but almost certainly without producing any resolution. Indeed, a resolution may be impossible, since the whole Brexit project is fundamentally anachronistic in an age when the need is for a much deeper pooling of national sovereignty in the face of an existential threat to humanity.

For Ireland, a particular concern will be whether, if Johnson carries out his promise to conclude the transition period at the end of 2020, the complex arrangements for a so-called border in the Irish Sea will be in place. Nothing in this saga so far has generated much confidence on that. But the travails of our neighbour must not be in 2020, as they have been in the last few years, an excuse for inertia in either part of our island. The political parties in Northern Ireland must accept their responsibility to govern. Something similar is true south of the Border.

There has been too much drift on too many issues the looming issue of Brexit has created a kind of suspended animation. Whatever the outcome of the election, there is a need for real animation on the housing crisis, on child poverty, on healthcare reform and on the decarbonisation of the economy.

If Ireland is to be an oasis of democracy in a turbulent world, it needs to prove to itself that democracy solves problems while its enemies continue to exacerbate them.

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The Irish Times view on the year ahead: Democracy put to the test - The Irish Times

ORGANISED DEMOCRACY IS WHAT INDIA WANTS. – The Tribune

IF the session of the Congress that came to a close on New Years Day may be described as the greatest ever held, the message which the President delivered to the assembled delegates in dissolving the gathering was in every way a fitting sequel to the proceedings of the session. It has been the pride and privilege of the President of the Congress, ever since that great institution came into existence, to dream dreams. Many of those dreams have already become realities, while the most important of them, that which transcended all others in its majestic sweep, the dream of Swaraj, associated with the revered memory of the Grand Old Man of India, has been brought within the range of practical politics. The dream of Pandit Moti Lal Nehru represents a further stage in the journey along the same road. What Dadabhai Naoroji and others, both before and immediately after him, were striving for was the recognition by England of Indias nationhood and the right of Indians themselves to direct their own affairs. This was naturally the first task before the Congress. The British Parliament has accepted our goal, and His Majesty the King-Emperor has told his Indian people in the most unequivocal terms that the fullness of political freedom is not only a legitimate ideal for them, but the only possible ideal. Now comes the next question, the question of how best, most speedily and most effectively to realise this ideal. The problem would be easy enough if what India wanted was a mere transfer of power from British hands. A part of the higher administration is already in Indian hands, and it would be a task of no insuperable difficulty to find Indians who could take over the controlling part of the administration. But that is not the problem. The Congress has never longed for the substitution for the Anglo-Indian of an Indian bureaucracy or oligarchy. She believes only in democracy.

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ORGANISED DEMOCRACY IS WHAT INDIA WANTS. - The Tribune

Opinion – Is This What Democracy Looks Like? – Cherwell Online

Getting Brexit done is now the irrefutable,irresistible, unarguable decision of the British people. These are thetriumphant words of our Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, hours after hisresounding win in Decembers general election. Yet even a cursory glance at thepopular vote casts doubt on this supposedly unequivocal mandate. Compared withtheir disappointing 2017 performance, the Conservatives only rose 1.2% to 43.6%of the overall number of votes cast. Yet faced with a divided opposition, they gained48 seats and a remarkable parliamentary majority that leaves them free toimplement to govern as they see fit for the next five years. Many of theiropponents will feel hard done by, and with good reason. The question is, why isthis system so broken? And can we should we rectify it?

British general elections are based on a system knownas First Past the Post (FPTP). This means each of the United Kingdoms 650constituencies, whichever candidate wins more votes than all others, theplurality, represents that area in the House of Commons. Though simple tounderstand and carry out, this system is inherently flawed andunrepresentative. On one hand, voters in so-called safe seats such as JeremyCorbyns Islington North, whomever they may support, are discouraged fromvoting by their inability to have any effect on the result.

In more marginal areas, MPs can be voted into power despitecommanding nothing near an actual majority. The constituency of Kensington is aprime example of this, where Liberal Democrat convert Sam Gyimah received over9000 votes. This allowed his Tory rival to win with 38.3% of the vote, defeatingthe Labour incumbent by just 150 votes, a deficit she would have likely overcomehad the Liberal Democrats not split the vote for Remainers. This is known asthe spoiler effect. Smaller parties risk damaging their own interests by stealingvotes from larger parties they agree with somewhat and handing victory to thosewith whom they disagree far more virulently. As a result, a reluctantelectorate finds itself forced to vote tactically and compromise on itspolitical convictions.

One possible solution to this problem is a systemknown as Mixed-Member Proportional Representation (MMPR). Under this model, alsoused in elections for the devolved Scottish Parliament and the London Assembly,candidates would be divided into two groups: local and national. Localrepresentatives are the winners of their constituencys vote, while nationalrepresentatives are then assigned so as to ensure the governing body is aproportional reflection of the preferences of the whole population. Using MMPR,the SNP would not, as they did this year, have over four times more Westminsterseats than the Liberal Democrats, despite winning barely a third of the votes. Whatsmore, every vote counts, so a Green vote in their Brighton Pavilion strongholdis as important as a Green vote anywhere else.

That said, MMPR is not without its flaws. Itscomplicated processes can be difficult to understand and impractical to carryout on a broader scale, explaining why only a select number of countries, suchas New Zealand, use it in nationwide elections. Proportional systems can alsolead to the growth of parties on the extremes of the political spectrum, such asthe BNP, which, though a technically more democratic outcome, may not be aparticularly desirable one. Perhaps the most significant problem, however, islegislative stagnation. Outright popular majorities in countries with diverse,multi-party systems are very uncommon. This makes broad coalitions necessaryand serious reform grindingly slow.

FPTP certainly does not share these drawbacks, diminishingthe power of widespread minority groups and favouring comfortable, or at leastworkable, majorities for parties with a widespread base of support. But therewill always be a trade-off between a system that faithfully represents the manyshades of popular opinion and one that is actually able to pass legislation andaddress key issues.

Perhaps the most effective and feasible compromisebetween these two goals is the Alternative Vote (AV). In this type of election,voters are allowed to rank their options from most to least favourite. If thereis no single party with an outright majority, the votes of the smallest partyssupporters are redistributed to its voters next preferred choices. Thisprocess is repeated until one candidate achieves a majority, and they areelected as that constituencys Member of Parliament. This system was roundlyrejected in the 2011 referendum on the subject with over two thirds of voters opposingit. Indeed, AV is far from perfect. It doesnt eliminate safe seats, couldincrease the likelihood of a hung parliament and can seem confusing and opaqueto the general public.

Nevertheless, AV is better than FPTP in one keyrespect: there is no spoiler effect, meaning the incentive to vote tacticallyis vastly reduced. Take Hartlepool, for instance, where Labour held on withjust 38% of the vote to the Tories 29. In an AV election, most of the 26% ofvotes cast for Brexit Party chairman Richard Tice would likely have beentransferred to the Conservatives, giving them the victory in an area that votedoverwhelmingly to leave the European Union in 2016. AV favours compromisecandidates that most constituents can live with, even if they arent theirabsolute favourite. Though by no means revolutionary, this system would help torestore the faith in politics of a disillusioned populace whilst also allowingfor functioning governments that most people can support.

It should come as no surprise that the ConservativeParty was vehemently opposed to the Alternative Vote in 2011. After all, it wasthe FPTP system that put them into government and has kept them there for thepast decade (though ironically, had the 2015 election been held under AV, it isthought the Conservatives would have won a larger number of seats). Genuineelectoral reform of any description is always difficult because those with theability to institute change rarely want to bite the hand that feeds them. In1997, New Labour were elected on a promise to reform the voting system. But havingwon a huge majority under FPTP, they were understandably unwilling to changeit. However, if we honestly value the principle of a true representativedemocracy, it is crucial that we dont just settle for a system as problematicand unsatisfactory as First Past the Post. Though Proportional Representation maybe an idealistic and impractical alternative, AV could serve as a sensibleGoldilocks option between these two extremes. A future without the need tosecond-guess other peoples decisions in the voting booth is undoubtedly apositive one. We should not let a blind aversion to change deter us from thepossibility of meaningful progress. It is only ironic that the best way toimprove Britains democracy might be to introduce a reform rejected at theballot box only a few short years ago.

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Opinion - Is This What Democracy Looks Like? - Cherwell Online

Will Democrats break democracy in a bid to fix it? – The Boston Globe

But as the crowd tittered, Buttigieg offered a surprising reply. I dont think we should be laughing at it," he said. "Because in some ways, its no more a shattering of norms than whats already been done to get the judiciary to where it is today.

The comment turned into a bit of a moment for the then little-known mayor of South Bend, Ind. Lefty Twitter declared itself impressed. And the liberal news site ThinkProgress ran a piece under the headline, One Democrat in the race seems serious about governing, and its not Bernie Sanders.

The reaction spoke to a growing desire, in some corners of the party, for Democrats to play more of what scholars call constitutional hardball, using tactics that are technically legal, but break with decades- and even centuries-old traditions of fair play.

The idea is to match a Republican Party that has proven itself more than willing to push the bounds of acceptable behavior in recent years most famously refusing for the better part of a year to even consider Obama nominee Merrick Garland for a vacancy on the Supreme Court, then installing President Trumps pick, Neil Gorsuch, and building a 5-4 conservative majority.

Aaron Belkin, director of a liberal advocacy group called Take Back the Court, argues that the GOPs strong-arm tactics have effectively created a system of one-party rule virtually guaranteeing that the next Democratic president will fail.

The candidates, he says, can debate wealth taxes and health care expansion all they like, but it will all amount to nothing if the GOP uses the filibuster to kill progressive legislation in the Senate or a stolen court to nullify any ambitious legislation that finds its way out of Congress.

The house is literally on fire, he says. And no one is talking about it.

Belkin is among a small group of liberal activists who have been trying to make constitutional hardball a top issue in the Democratic primary; it was a Belkin associate who stood up at the Buttigieg event in Philadelphia earlier this year and asked the question about court packing. Others are pushing to end the filibuster and eliminate an Electoral College that tilts presidential elections toward smaller, generally conservative states.

The agitators have had some success. Several of the leading Democratic candidates have declared themselves open to these ideas. But most sound like theyre mollifying activists, rather than leading a revolt. And only Buttigieg has placed structural reform near the center of his campaign.

The Democratic establishment, it seems, is betting that it can put off a reckoning for now. And perhaps it can. But that could change if a Democrat wins the White House and runs into the sort of GOP obstruction that activists are warning about.

Then, the pressure will mount. A growing number of voters, their hopes for a post-Trump presidency dashed, will demand action.

And if the call is loud enough, Democrats will have to face a question theyve mostly avoided until now: Can you save a democracy by taking a wrecking ball to some of its most important institutions or do you risk smashing the whole edifice to bits?

MARK TUSHNET, A Harvard law professor, coined the phrase constitutional hardball in an obscure academic journal in 2004.

He says the increasingly aggressive use of the filibuster to block judicial nominations struck him as a noteworthy break from what had come before.

It was conventional wisdom in political science when I was younger, that I think this is Tip ONeills line in Congress, you get along by going along, he told me.

But if Tushnet put his finger on an important turn in American politics, his observations didnt get much traction until the end of the decade when Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell built an explicit strategy of obstruction famously declaring that his top priority was to make Obama a one-term president.

Suddenly, the stakes seemed higher.

And while both parties had played hardball in the past, a worrisome imbalance seemed to be taking shape with the GOP more inclined to break the unwritten rules than their Democratic rivals.

In 2018, law professors Joseph Fishkin of the University of Texas at Austin and David Pozen of Columbia confirmed that imbalance in a sprawling paper titled Asymmetric Constitutional Hardball.

The authors ticked through the modern GOPs especially rich record of envelope-pushing from former House Speaker Newt Gingrichs effort to consolidate power in his office in the mid-1990s and dismantle other Congressional institutions, to a systematic gerrymandering initiative known as REDMAP, to the use of government shutdowns to win legislative concessions.

And they offered a nuanced analysis of why Republicans are more partial to hardball.

First, its a matter of worldview. While Democrats are committed to the idea of an active, functioning government, Republicans prefer a smaller, less intrusive state making them more amenable to government shutdowns.

Its also a matter of electoral incentives, as Pozen explained in a recent interview. Since the mid-1990s, Republican members of Congress have been more likely to face challengers from within their own party and those challenges tend to come from the right. That has obvious hardball implications, Pozen says. Youre more likely to upset norms in service of the cause if youre worried about being seen as not extreme enough.

Pozen says the composition of the party bases also plays an important role.

Democrats have a diverse coalition labor, environmentalists, people of color, educated whites. And while thats a strength, in many ways, it can make it hard to enforce the kind of party discipline required to, say, maintain a filibuster.

The Republican Party has a more homogeneous coalition. Its a more coherent, movement party, rather than a diverse-coalition party, Pozen says. It ends up being more unified and disciplined.

Steven Levitsky, co-author of How Democracies Die, adds that the homogeneity of the GOP coalition much of it is white and Christian has led to a sense of vulnerability that encourages by any means necessary tactics.

Not long ago, he says, white Christians had a clear hold on political and economic power in this country. And as that hold loosens, they can feel threatened. "Many Republican voters believe that the country they grew up in is being taken away from them, he says. And that has pushed the Republican Party into a much more extreme position.

Mirroring the GOPs hardball tactics might seem like the sensible response. But Levitsky says theres real danger in Democrats engaging in a tit-for-tat.

A professor of government at Harvard, hes spent much of his career studying Latin America, and hes seen what happens when one party engages in hardball and another replies in kind: It can escalate into a sort of permanent warfare that does enormous damage to the institutions at the heart of a democratic republic.

Its a disaster, he says. At best it leads to dysfunctional government and at worst and weve seen this over and over again in Latin America it leads to the collapse of democracy.

Levitsky points to the Supreme Court. If Democrats pack it, he says, then Republicans are sure to add more seats when they regain power and on and on until the highest court in the land has lost all of its legitimacy.

Strong institutions are a really valuable thing, he says. And while its relatively easy to lose" them, Levitsky argues, its extremely hard to reconstruct them.

LEVITSKY MAKES A tough ask; the Republicans have been punching Democrats in the mouth for years and for the good of the country, theyre told they have to keep taking it.

For Belkin, of Take Back the Court, thats unacceptable.

The Republicans have already stolen the court, he says. Its much preferred to have a zig-zag in which they steal the court, and then Democrats unsteal the court, and then they steal the court, and Democrats unsteal it than to have unilateral surrender.

Brian Fallon, a onetime Hillary Clinton aide who now runs a group called Demand Justice focused on pushing the courts to the left, adds that a failure to respond to GOP hardball only encourages more of the same.

When you have one side that approaches political debates asymmetrically and is willing to play by a different set of rules, theyre going to win every time, he says. And they have no incentive to change their behavior until theres a credible threat on the table that the same will be done unto them.

He does worry about the sort of escalation that could put American democracy in a death spiral. But Fallon and some of the academics who have studied the matter see an opening for a third way using hardball tactics to achieve anti-hardball, pro-democratic ends.

For instance, when Democrats next win the House, Senate, and presidency, they could threaten to pack the Supreme Court and use that as leverage for a deal with Republican lawmakers aimed at de-politicizing the court.

Congress could impose 18-year term limits on the justices, as one popular proposal suggests, making it impossible for them to time their retirements and ensure that a president of their liking names a successor.

And if the justices terms ended at staggered, two-year intervals, the new system would guarantee each president regular appointments to the high court. That, in turn, would make each nomination less of a life-and-death affair.

This sort of reform could, of course, be undone by a future Congress. But a de-politicized court would probably appeal to the independents who decide elections, making it difficult for lawmakers to reverse course.

There are other ways to use hardball tactics for anti-hardball ends.

Democrats could eliminate the filibuster, for instance, and then use their newfound power in the Senate to push through legislation that strengthens voting rights. The idea is that the ends democracy-bolstering measures like automatic voter registration would justify the means.

It is an odd, and uncomfortable, way to save the republic. And like any form of brinksmanship, it would come with risks. But in a moment of brutal partisanship, it may take a bit of hardball to save us.

David Scharfenberg can be reached at david.scharfenberg@globe.com. Follow him on Twitter @dscharfGlobe

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Will Democrats break democracy in a bid to fix it? - The Boston Globe