Archive for April, 2021

CIA head said to have made unannounced trip to Afghanistan – The Associated Press

KABUL, Afghanistan (AP) CIA Director William Burns made a recent unannounced visit to Kabul, a senior politician and a well-placed public figure told The Associated Press, as concerns mount about Afghanistans capability to fight terrorism once the U.S. has withdrawn its remaining troops by summer.

Separately, a senior former Afghan security official deeply familiar with the countrys counterterrorism program said two of six units trained and run by the CIA to track militants have already been transferred to Afghan control.

The three men spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss sensitive security issues with the media.

In Washington, the CIA declined to comment when asked about the directors schedule and the agencys role in Afghanistan.

In deciding this month on an unconditional troop pullout by Sept. 11, President Joe Biden had argued that a key objective of the U.S. invasion to prevent terror attacks on the U.S from Afghan soil has been met. The pullout deadline marks the 20th anniversary of the al-Qaida terror attacks on the U.S., which triggered the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan.

However, senior U.S. officials have cautioned that the withdrawal poses risks.

Burns recently told the U.S. Congress that neither al-Qaida nor Islamic State extremists have the ability to stage attacks against the U.S. Still, when the time comes for the U.S. military to withdraw, the U.S. governments ability to collect and act on threats will diminish, thats simply a fact, he said.

Burns quietly visited Kabul last weekend, the politician and the public figure said. They would not say whom Burns met with, but said some of the discussions addressed Afghanistans preparedness after the U.S. pullout. Burns also reassured Afghan officials that the U.S. would continue to be engaged in counterterrorism efforts.

Yet concerns are mounting that Afghanistans security forces wont be able to halt a march by Taliban insurgents on government-held territory or battle terrorist groups without the help of U.S. and NATO soldiers. Already, the Taliban control or hold sway over half the country.

The former security official said he believes terrorism-fighting capabilities will be significantly reduced once the roughly 2,500 to 3,500 U.S. troops and 7,000 allied NATO soldiers leave.

The official said the CIA had been training and running Afghan special forces known as Counter Terrorism Pursuit Teams, or CTPT. The teams are located in the provinces of Kunar, Paktia, Kandahar, Kabul, Khost and Nangarhar. He said the plan is to gradually hand them over to the Afghan intelligence service, known as the National Directorate of Security. So far, the Kunar and Paktia units have been transferred to Afghan control, he said.

The CTPT teams are feared by many Afghans and have been implicated in extra-judicial killings of civilians. In 2019, the head of the Afghan intelligence service, Masoom Stanikzai, was forced to resign after one of these units was implicated in the summary execution of four brothers.

Earlier this year, in Afghanistans eastern Khost province, one of the teams was accused of gunning down civilians in a counterterrorism operation. The United Nations has also criticized the tactics of these units, previously blaming them for a rise in civilian casualties along with insurgent groups.

The former security official said that without the U.S. troops, Afghanistans technical intelligence gathering will suffer. Right now, some of the greatest successes in fighting terrorism and the narcotics trade have come from U.S. intelligence gathering, he said. Several months ago, U.S. intelligence uncovered dozens of methamphetamine laboratories producing drugs with a street value in the West of over $1 billion, the official added.

Meanwhile, both the U.S. and the Afghan government believe that the threat from al-Qaida and Afghanistans Islamic State affiliate has been substantially reduced.

Gen. Frank McKenzie, the top U.S. general for the Middle East, told the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee on Tuesday that both groups have been significantly degraded in Afghanistan because of U.S. military pressure in recent years.

However, the post-pullout situation will be challenging, he said. McKenzie said getting drones and other aircraft into Afghanistan to provide overhead surveillance or to conduct counterterrorism strikes will take considerably longer and will require far more aircraft.

He also said it will be extremely difficult but not impossible for the U.S. to find, track and take out terrorist threats in Afghanistan once all American troops are withdrawn.

Meanwhile, a Western diplomat in Afghanistan said the unexpected U.S. announcement of an unconditional withdrawal left many security questions unanswered such as what happens to NATOs surveillance equipment and the giant blimp that hovers over the capital. The blimp provides real-time intelligence and 24-hour surveillance.

David Barrett, a professor at Villanova University who specializes in the history of intelligence policy, said the troop pullout will reduce the amount of intelligence gathered by the military and ultimately provided to the CIA. But the U.S. can still monitor electronic communications and other signals with its advanced technology, and could intervene militarily if it assessed a threat to an American target, he said.

We have amazing capabilities for knowing whats happening on the ground, he said. If anyone, anywhere in Afghanistan decides they want to develop any ability to strike the U.S., they would be making a very big mistake.

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Associated Press writer Nomaan Merchant in Washington contributed to this report.

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CIA head said to have made unannounced trip to Afghanistan - The Associated Press

US troops in Afghanistan begin packing gear in pullout prep – Associated Press

KABUL, Afghanistan (AP) The U.S. military has begun shipping equipment and winding down contracts with local service providers ahead of the May 1 start of the final phase of its military pullout from Afghanistan, a U.S. Defense Department official said Thursday.

The pullout under U.S. President Joe Biden marks the end of Americas longest war after a 20-year military engagement. Currently, some 2,500 U.S. soldiers and about 7,000 allied forces are still in Afghanistan.

In February last year, the U.S. military began closing its smaller bases. In mid-April, the Biden administration announced that the final phase of the withdrawal would begin May 1 and be completed before Sept. 11.

Since then, the military has been shipping equipment and winding down local contracts for services such as trash pickup and maintenance work, the U.S. official told The Associated Press, speaking on condition of anonymity in line with briefing regulations.

While preparations are under way, troops likely wont begin to depart for a few weeks, he said, adding that we wont see a coming down of the (troop) numbers until remaining bases close.

There have been indications that the pullout could be completed well before Sept. 11, which marks the 20th anniversary of the al-Qaida terror attack on the U.S. and the trigger for the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan.

On Wednesday, Germanys Defense Ministry said discussions are underway among military planners with the NATO-led Resolute Support Mission in Kabul for a possible withdrawal of international troops from Afghanistan as early as July 4.

In the short term, America will likely increase its troop presence in Afghanistan, the Pentagon said last Friday. The additional troops would be in Afghanistan over the coming weeks and months to help with what the herculean task of wrapping up 20 years of war.

While much of the equipment headed back to the U.S. will be shipped by air, the military will also use land routes through Pakistan and north through Central Asia, the Defense Department official said.

The U.S. equipment that is neither shipped back to America nor given to the Afghan National Security forces will be sold to contractors, who will, in turn, sell it in the local markets.

Youll most likely start seeing it eventually showing up in bazaars as scrap, said the official.

The Taliban, meanwhile, were non-committal when asked by the AP whether the insurgents would attack departing U.S. and NATO troops. Its too early for these issues, nothing can be said about the future, said Taliban spokesman Mohammad Naeem.

In a deal the Taliban signed last year with former President Donald Trump, the final U.S. withdrawal deadline was set as May 1. Under the agreement, the Taliban promised not to attack U.S. and NATO troops but they also later promised consequences if Washington defied the May 1 deadline.

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US troops in Afghanistan begin packing gear in pullout prep - Associated Press

Biden Administration Seeking $300 Million in Aid to Afghanistan – Voice of America

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken says that the Biden administration is working with Congress to provide nearly $300 million in additional aid for Afghanistan in 2021.

"The funding will be targeted at sustaining and building on the gains of the past 20 years by improving access to essential services for Afghan citizens, promoting economic growth, fighting corruption and the narcotics trade, improving health and education service delivery, supporting women's empowerment, enhancing conflict resolution mechanisms, and bolstering Afghan civil society and independent media," Blinken said in a statement.

The move comes as the United States and NATO have announced they are withdrawing all troops from Afghanistan. President Joe Biden has said U.S. military forces will be out of the country by Sept. 11.

Blinken made a surprise visit to Afghanistan last week to reassure officials there that Washington would still be committed to the country, where U.S. troops have been stationed since 2001 following the September 11 attacks when terrorists flew hijacked planes into the World Trade Center in New York and the Pentagon, outside Washington. Another hijacked plane crashed in a field near Shanksville, Pennsylvania.

When Biden's predecessor, Donald Trump, was in office, the U.S. reached an agreement with the Taliban to withdraw U.S. forces by May 1. Biden's pushing back the deadline angered the insurgent group, which said the move was a violation of the agreement.

Over the course of the U.S. involvement in Afghanistan, more than 2,200 U.S. troops have been killed and 20,000 wounded. It is estimated that the U.S. has spent more than $1 trillion on the war, America's longest.

According to the World Bank, more than half of Afghans live on less than $1.90 a day. It is also considered one of the worst countries for women's rights, according to the Georgetown Institute for Women, Peace and Security.

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Biden Administration Seeking $300 Million in Aid to Afghanistan - Voice of America

Looted Objects From Afghanistan Are Returned – The New York Times

For half a century, through war, anarchy and upheaval, Afghanistan has been stripped of tens of thousands of Buddhist and Hindu antiquities, some dating back more than 1,800 years.

Many of those items entered the Western market in the 1990s and early 2000s, St John Simpson, a curator at the British Museum, told The New York Times last month. And all of those, he said, were almost certainly illegally exported or stolen.

On Monday, 33 of those antiquities, valued at $1.8 million, were handed over to the Afghan ambassador, Roya Rahmani, by the Manhattan district attorneys office and the Department of Homeland Security, at a ceremony in New York.

The artifacts were part of a hoard of 2,500 objects valued at $143 million seized in a dozen raids between 2012 and 2014 from Subhash Kapoor, a disgraced Manhattan art dealer currently jailed in India on smuggling and theft charges.

Upon receiving the items, many of them delicate heads made from stucco, clay and a soft stone known as schist, a grateful Ms. Rahmani nonetheless warned that the environment that allows for the plundering of Afghanistans treasured antiquities is the same environment that allows for the perpetuation of conflict.

Traffickers are not just robbing Afghanistan of its history, she added. They are perpetuating a situation where peace does not manifest and the region does not stabilize. Looting Afghanistans past is looting Afghanistans future.

Much of the destruction and plunder of Afghan relics and religious icons took place under the Taliban, who destroyed the famed sixth-century Buddhas of Bamiyan, a pair of enormous carvings, in 2001. In the face of near-universal condemnation, officials dynamited the works, which stood in tall niches hewed from a sheer sandstone cliff.

The objects repatriated on Monday will be housed in the National Museum in Kabul. Afghan officials have said they were confident they could now safeguard their museums and cultural institutions against plunder and smuggling.

According to UNESCO, the Afghan authorities have taken important steps to prevent the theft, smuggling and desecration of cultural objects. Those steps include a separate new police force tasked with protecting cultural sites, up-to-date museum security systems, and educational campaigns aimed at convincing anyone who finds lost or forgotten relics to turn them over to the government.

During the ceremony, the Afghan ambassador praised the office of the district attorney, Cy Vance Jr., for arranging the return. Mr. Vances Antiquities Trafficking Unit, overseen by the Assistant District Attorney Matthew Bogdanos, said that over the past decade, it has recovered several thousand stolen antiquities collectively valued at more than $175 million, from more than a dozen nations.

Since August, the unit has overseen the return of 338 objects to seven nations, among them Nepal, Sri Lanka, Egypt and Pakistan, with more to be sent back once the countries involved resolve travel and transport issues related to the pandemic.

Crimes involving looted and stolen religious relics, Mr. Vance said, not only tear at the societal fabric of nations but also deprive millions of believers worldwide of the earliest sacred symbols of their faith.

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Looted Objects From Afghanistan Are Returned - The New York Times

America’s War in Afghanistan Is the Mother of All Sunk Costs – Bloomberg

Americas forever war in Afghanistan is an investment of kinds, albeit one ofblood and treasure. To put things in financial terms, that investment is being written offabandoned, essentiallywith President Joe Bidens decision to withdraw all U.S. troops from the country by Sept. 11, the 20th anniversary of al-Qaedas terror attacks on the U.S. A war that was described as necessaryis now said to be unnecessary. Thatsbound to deepen the pain of families of fallen American and Afghan soldiers,who now have a new reason to askwhether their loved ones died in vain.

Its tempting to say that the U.S. should stay in Afghanistan to protect its huge investment there. Some have argued precisely that. In an op-edin the Washington Post in 2015 directed at President Barack Obama, retired GeneralDavid Petraeus and Brookings Institution scholar Michael OHanlon wrote,The right approach is for Obama to protect our investment in Afghanistan and to hand off to his successor military forces and tools that will still be critically needed in 2017 and beyond. They added that the cost of staying was small in comparison to wellover 2,000 American livesand nearly$1trillion in expense as well as the risk of future attacks on the U.S.emanating from Afghanistan.

Lost investment was also the subtext on April 14, when SenatorLindsey Graham, the Republican from South Carolina, said, This has been a very long war. The bottom line is they died in defense of their nation. Not in some endless war. They died to make sure this never happens again. That seems like an implicitargument for staying in Afghanistan to make sure their sacrifice was not in vain.

But economists advise us to forget about sunk costshow much has already been investedwhen deciding to go forward with a project (or a war). The logic is that whats done is done, for better or worse, andshould have no bearing on the decision of what to do next. The only thing worse than making a bad investment is stubbornly sticking with it, throwing good money after bad.

Of course a war isnt any ordinary investment.In an age when human sensibility is finely tuned to all the nuances of despair, it still seems important to say of those who die in war that they did not die in vain, the political theorist and philosopher Michael Walzer writes in his 2015 book, Just and Unjust Wars: A Moral Argument With Historical Illustrations(italics in the original).

Thats the tragedy of pulling out of Afghanistan now, after so much blood has been spilled. Walzer writes, A just war is one that is morally urgent to win, and a soldier who dies in a just war does not die in vain. By that token, if the war in Afghanistan is no longer judged morally urgent to win, does that imply that a soldier who died in itdied in vain?

A 2009 article in the Journal of Conflict Resolution byWilliam A. Boettcher III and Michael D. Cobb of North Carolina State University found that framing the war in Iraq as an investment to be protectedincreased support for itamong people who supported it already but decreased support for it among those who feltthe U.S. should have stayed out.

Whether Biden made the right decision about withdrawal isnt the questionhere. There are no great options:Staying would have bad consequences and so would leaving. Theres a reason Afghanistan iscalled the graveyard of empires.

The questionis what Biden should have considered inmaking hisfateful stay-or-go decision. He should have focusedand apparently didon the pros and cons of withdrawal while looking aheadrather than looking back on whathappened over the past 20 years. As economists put it: Ignore sunk costs.

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America's War in Afghanistan Is the Mother of All Sunk Costs - Bloomberg