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Youve heard how South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg is coming on strong in Iowa. Youve heard how New Hampshire is a free-for-all. And youve heard about former Vice President Joe Bidens firewall in Nevada and especially South Carolina.

But the Democratic primary wont end after those four states, especially if no clear winner emerges from them. That means the 16 states and territories that vote on March 3 Super Tuesday could be critical to Democrats selection of a nominee; together they are estimated to be worth more than a third of Democrats pledged delegates.

Despite these places importance, though, theres been relatively little coverage of which candidates might have an advantage there. Of course, plenty will probably change between now and Super Tuesday. In addition to the normal fluctuations in the horse race, the results in the first four states will likely winnow the field, too. But I still think its worthwhile checking in on the polling in some important March states to see what the race looks like now.

Appropriately given its outsized number of delegates, California has been one of the most frequently polled states over the past two months:

Polling for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

And the polls there have shown some stark disagreements: Some have given Biden a solid lead, while others find a decisive edge for Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and the most recent found Sen. Bernie Sanders in a virtual tie for first. A simple polling average shows Warren at 24 percent, Biden at 22 percent and Sanders at 19 percent. If those are their final percentages in California, the states huge trove of 416 delegates (the most of any one primary or caucus) would be split three ways. But, again, its still early.

Notably, Buttigieg is only averaging 9 percent in California, which is another reason to believe, at least at this stage, that he might have trouble building on potential strong showings in Iowa and New Hampshire. And its not in the table, but home-state Sen. Kamala Harris averaged 8 percent across these seven polls before she dropped out, so whoever picks up her support in the Golden State could alter the shape of the race, too.

Texas has the second-biggest delegate haul (228) of both Super Tuesday and the entire primary calendar, but unlike California, signs point to a front-runner: Biden (although, with only two polls conducted in the state in the last two months, we dont have the clearest picture of the race there).

Polling for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

After all, only the most recent poll from the University of Texas at Tyler was conducted after former Rep. Beto ORourke, a native son of Texas, exited the race. And he got 14 percent in that YouGov poll, so a fair number of voters may still be up for grabs in the Lone Star State.

Continuing down the line, the third-most important Super Tuesday state in terms of delegates is North Carolina with 110.

Polling for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

Weve gotten several polls in the Tar Heel State in the last two months, with all five indicating that Biden has a healthy lead. This should come as no surprise in a state that, like South Carolina, has a large base of black voters. In 2016, the Democratic primary electorate was 38 percent nonwhite.

But beyond those three delegate-rich states, we dont have a lot of recent Super Tuesday polling. In Virginia (99 delegates), the most recent poll was conducted almost three months ago. And while it showed Biden with a comfortable lead, demographically the state is also fertile ground for Warren or Buttigieg, given that college-educated whites constituted almost half of its 2016 Democratic primary electorate. Indeed, Massachusetts, Super Tuesdays fifth-biggest prize with 91 delegates, has an even higher share of college-educated white voters, and Warren led there by 15 points in the most recent poll from mid-October. But of course, Massachusetts is also Warrens home state, which could be a factor here as well. That said, she also took 25 percent and first place in the most recent poll of Minnesota (75 delegates), in which home-state Sen. Amy Klobuchar also received a respectable 15 percent.

Beyond that, Super Tuesday is a black box. There hasnt been a survey of Colorado (67 delegates) since August. Tennessee (64 delegates), Alabama (52 delegates) and Oklahoma (37 delegates) havent been polled since July, although demographically the first two at least should be good fits for Biden. Meanwhile, Arkansas (31 delegates) and Utah (29 delegates) havent seen any polls.

October did bring us two surveys of Maine, but they disagreed as to whether Biden or Warren was leading, but considering only 24 delegates are at stake, it probably wont be what makes or breaks Super Tuesday for a candidate. Same with Vermont (16 delegates), Democrats Abroad (13 delegates) and American Samoa (six delegates), where there are also zero polls although we can probably be pretty confident that Sanders will win his home state. (He has a 65 percent approval rating there and won 86 percent there in the 2016 primary.)

In summary, it looks like Biden and to a lesser extent Warren would start out with the advantage on Super Tuesday. Biden leads in two of the three biggest states (Texas and North Carolina), plus probably multiple Southern states (Tennessee, Alabama, maybe Virginia and Arkansas). Warren likely leads in two mid-size states (Massachusetts and Minnesota) but also figures to amass a significant delegate haul from California, which currently looks like a jump ball. And while we can only say with confidence that Sanders is favored to win one state, he definitely has a chance to pick up plenty of delegates by finishing a respectable second or third in many other places.

The further out you go on the calendar, theres even more good news for Biden. One week after Super Tuesday, Michigan (125 delegates) will be the big prize, and Biden leads in an average of the three polls taken there in the last two months:

Polling for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

Beyond that, Biden is also ahead for now in Florida (219 delegates), Illinois (155 delegates), Ohio (136 delegates) and Arizona (67 delegates) for the March 17 primaries:

Polling in Florida, Illinois, Ohio and Arizona for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

Then, on March 24, Georgia (105 delegates) will vote, and Biden currently has a commanding lead there, too:

Polling for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

As for the states that will vote in April or later, most of them have seen no recent polling and arguably, this is pretty justifiable, since the race is so unpredictable that deep into the calendar. Its quite possible Biden or another candidate will have sewn up the nomination by this point anyway. But if not, look for a few states to be the differentiators. For example, Wisconsin (77 delegates) is set to vote on April 7, and recent polls show a very unsettled race there:

Polling for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

The last big delegate haul of the primary will be on April 28, when New York (224 delegates) and Pennsylvania (153 delegates) go to the polls, and if trends hold steady, this day could be a shot in the arm for Biden: He had a 10-point lead over Warren in New York per a Siena College poll from mid-November, and he has an 11-point lead over her in an average of Pennsylvania polls conducted entirely or in part since Oct. 1:

Polling for the four leading Democratic presidential candidates, in public polls conducted since Oct. 1

Source: Polls

Of course, by this point in the race, Id be surprised if there are more than two candidates left standing, so there may be a chance for, say, Warren to consolidate anti-Biden support and win these states, too. Like a real-life choose-your-own-adventure book, the primary could still unfold along hundreds of paths. But its also important to remember there are several massive states still to vote after Iowa (41 delegates), New Hampshire (24 delegates), Nevada (36 delegates) and South Carolina (54 delegates) and right now, Biden has far more delegates waiting for him in those states than any candidate is likely to amass in February.

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Whos Leading The Democratic Primary In Super Tuesday States? - FiveThirtyEight

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Retired Lt. Col. Oliver North said history appears to be repeating itself, as Democrats in the House held more hearingsMonday in their impeachment inquiry of President Trump.

North, who served on National Security Council staff in the Ronald Reagan administration, argued that Democrats have been just as determined to impeachTrumpas they were intent on removing Reaganfrom office.

"Back in the 1980s in the aftermath of Grenada, there were threats to impeach Ronald Reagan and it came from the speaker of the House... Tip O'Neill," said North on Fox Nation's "Deep Dive" on Monday.

Top Democrats "gathered together," North said."And, they said, 'We're going to find a way to get rid of this cowboy'... They did not like President Reagan."

On Nov.11, 1983, seven HouseDemocratsintroduced a draft resolution toimpeach Reagan, arguing that hehad committed a high crime or misdemeanor by"ordering the invasion of Grenadain violation of the Constitution," among other charges.Reagan had greenlitthe operation after a series of coups replaced Grenada's democratically-elected government with a pro-Soviet military regime.

The impeachment resolution failed.

WHEN DEMOCRATS TRIED TO IMPEACH RONALD REAGAN: NEW DOCUMENTARY

"Of course, they got all they ever wanted in November of '86, the Iran-Contra affair was exposed and they knew that they had it,"continued North, referring to the scandal over theReagan administration's funneling of arms-sales proceeds torebel forces in Nicaragua, known as the Contras. Northwas convicted on three counts, which were later dismissed,for his involvement in the Iran-Contra affair.

"Just like this whole thing with finding out that [Trump]had a conversation with another foreign leader. They've got their hook," he contended, drawing aparallelbetween 1986 and today.

"At the end of the day, they held a hearing in the summer of'87... and they had theirbacksides handed to them. A Navy admiral and a Marine lieutenant colonel said, 'You're not going to get us to do the wrong thing here and accusethe president of it,'" he said in reference to former Reagan National Security Adviser John Poindexter and himself.

"Then, the House of Representatives, they looked at it and said, 'Oh, my God, we're not going to put those two guys back on the stand in an impeachment trial in the Senate. Are you guys nuts?' and walked away from itcompletely."

In conclusion, North predicted theDemocrats would find themselves empty-handed at the end of this impeachment process.

He said witnesses will "testify in that Senate trial that are not only going to exonerate Donald Trump as president of the United States -- they're going to encourage Americans who didn't vote for him last time to get out and vote for him because of the abuse of what's going on right now," he concluded.

To watch all of"Deep Dive"go toFox Nationand sign up today.

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Fox Nationprograms are viewable on-demand and from your mobile device app, but only for Fox Nation subscribers.Go to Fox Nationto start a free trial and watch the extensive library from Tomi Lahren, Pete Hegseth, Abby Hornacek, Laura Ingraham, Ainsley Earhardt, Greg Gutfeld, Judge Andrew Napolitano and many more of your favorite Fox News personalities.

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Democrats determined to impeach Trump, as they were with Ronald Reagan, Oliver North argues - Fox News

Ms. Warren disagrees. In the latest Democratic debate, she said the spending programs funded by her wealth tax would be transformative for workers. Those plans would raise wages, make college tuition-free and relieve graduates of student debt, she said, adding, We can invest in an entire generations future.

An emerging group of liberal economists say taxes on high-earners could spur growth even if the government did nothing with the revenue because the concentration of income and wealth is dampening consumer spending.

We are experiencing a revolution right now in macroeconomics, particularly in the policy space, said Mark Paul, an economist who is a fellow at the liberal Roosevelt Institute in Washington. We can think of a wealth tax as welfare-enhancing, in and of itself, simply by constraining the power of the very wealthy to influence public policy and distort markets to their advantage.

Taken together, Ms. Warrens proposals would transform the role of federal taxation. If every tax increase she has proposed in the campaign passed and raised as much revenue as her advisers predict a contingency hotly debated among even liberal economists total federal tax revenue would grow more than 50 percent.

The United States would leap from one of the lowest-taxed rich nations to one of the highest. It would collect more taxes as a share of the economy than the Netherlands and only slightly less than Italy.

Mr. Sanderss plan envisions a similarly large increase in tax levels. Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.s proposals are much smaller in scale: He would raise taxes on the wealthy and corporations by $3.4 trillion over a decade, in order to fund increased spending on health care, higher education, infrastructure and carbon emissions reduction.

If Ms. Warrens tax program is enacted, said Gabriel Zucman, an economist at Berkeley who is an architect of her wealth tax proposal, in my view, the most likely effect is a small positive effect on growth, depending on how the revenues are used.

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Could Tax Increases Speed Up the Economy? Democrats Say Yes - The New York Times

The following is satirical.

The new economic numbers are out and it now seems clear President Trump has helped create one of the greatest economies in American history. In the wake of the good news, Democrats are scrambling to find an effective way to campaign against him.

In an interview given to Chuck Todd in the bowels of Castle Democrat, which sits on the mist-shrouded crags atop Mount Incompetence, DNC Chairman Hapless Schmoe said, We thought if you journalists kept using the word bombshell over and over, we might be able to sell the people on this cockamamie nonsense about Ukraine or wherever it is, but if theyre not stupid enough to fall for that, theyre sure enough not going to vote for one of our lousy candidates.

The lousy candidates, meanwhile, have been retooling their campaign slogans in hopes of offering voters an alternative to peace and prosperity.

For instance, Joe Biden is testing out the new slogan: Sure, America is doing great but that doesnt mean we couldnt use a doddering, corrupt old fool in the White House.

Elizabeth Warren is now using the slogan: The economy is amazing, but I have a plan for that.

And Pete Buttigieg has new signs that read: Who wants a gorgeous, graceful, kind, stylish, and elegant first lady when you could have my husband Christian instead?

Bernie Sanders has been telling his rallies, I happen to believe that every man, woman and child should have a free alley cat for dinner like they do in other socialist countries.

And in his new TV ad Corey Booker says: Im walking around bare chested in a short leather skirt because Im Spartacus. No, really.

Finally, Nancy Pelosi will be running to hold her speaker seat with the slogan: I prayed for the president and look how well hes doing. Clearly God listens to me, so you should keep me in Congress.

Democrats say if these slogans dont work, theyll just go back to shrieking lies while the media pretends to believe them, as usual.

Related:Jobs Report Presents Terrible News For Democrats As They Push Forward On Partisan Impeachment

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Democrats Offer Voters An Alternative To Peace And Prosperity [Satire] - The Daily Wire

Issued on: 09/12/2019 - 18:01Modified: 09/12/2019 - 18:01

FRANCE 24 brings you an exclusive documentary filmed in war-torn Libya by Catherine Norris Trent, Julie Dungelhoeff and Abdallah Malkawi. This special report takes you to the front linesof the conflict and to the heart of the huge migration crisis unfolding there.

Libya has been in turmoil ever since the 2011 revolution that overthrew Muammar Gaddafi and the latest battles in the civil war there are playing out on the outskirts of the capital, Tripoli, where theconflict has been simmering for eight long months against a dystopian backdropof abandoned homes. Amultitude of once-rival militias fromthe west are battling to repel an offensive launched by a strongman from the east, Field Marshall Khalifa Haftar.

It is a fragmented front line and the battle is patchy and uneven, too:At times, young fighters wearing flip-flops and baseball caps fire ageing AK47s, with no real advances or losses of territory for weeks at a time. At other moments, advanced technology threatens in the form of combat drones. Militia fighters accuse Haftar's forces of relying on drone strikes by the UAE and Egypt, while the commander of GNA (Government of National Accord, the internationally recognised government based in western Libya) fighters confirmed to FRANCE 24 that their side has received and uses Turkish drones.

>> EU's Margaritis Schinas: 'No one is happy or proud with the situation in Libya'

Meanwhile, caught up on the margins of this complex proxy war are up to a million people, mainly sub-Saharan migrants. Many are locked in detention centres run by militias or human traffickers. Even in the eight centres officially controlled by the GNA, they're not protected from the conflict. In July, 60 migrants locked in the Tajoura detention centre were killed when an air strike hit their hangars. And some migrants have told FRANCE 24 they had been conscripted to work for militias, cleaning weapons and transporting dead bodies.

Find out more about the complex and harrowing Libyan conflict in this report, which contains rare, never-before-seen images.

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Libya, the infernal trap - Reporters - FRANCE 24