Archive for February, 2015

Election 2016: Hillary Clinton Already Target Of Republican Attacks; The 'Beltway Primary' Begins

WASHINGTON -- Before any actual presidential primary comes the so-called Beltway primary, the Washington political class assessment of a candidates early steps. (The so-called fundraising primary, forcing a candidate to demonstrate the ability to raise enough money to run a viable national campaign, is a subset.) For Hillary Clinton, the Beltway primary has already begun, and shes not winning.

Stories about disagreements inside Hillaryworld over fundraising and tactics were swirling afterClinton ally David Brock split with a Super PAC that will back her presidential campaign. Meanwhile, the Republican National Committee is needling Clinton about the fact she hasnt officially launched her campaign, accusing her of hiding.

The Beltway primarys power -- such as it is -- lies in generating negative press coverage, making political contributors nervous and giving the opposition a chance to get into the fight. Clinton is seeing what happens when youre the only candidate in the primary. The GOP is focused squarely on criticizing her and pointing out every possible misstep.

There are some real concerns for Clinton. Her previous presidential run in 2008 was plagued by turf wars and turmoil, and observers will be quick to conclude -- and report -- that this campaign is no better.

But the inner workings of a campaign matter very little to voters, especially a year away from the first primary ballot.Attacking a candidate for not announcing early enough is also unlikely to gain much traction. For starters, Clinton isnt off schedule. None of the likely 2016 Republican candidates has officially announced. Mitt Romney didnt formally start his 2012 campaign until June of the previous year. He launched his exploratory committee in April of that year.

Voters on a bipartisan basis agree the campaign season is already too long. A 2011 Gallup poll in the run-up to the last presidential campaign found that a year before Election Day, most Americans surveyed would have been happy for the election to be already over. Among those polled in 12 swing states, 75 percent said they were ready for the campaign to end. Only 21 percent said they were eager for it to begin.Campaign fatigue is real.

But that wont push back the start of the Beltway primary. The RNC released a video montage of television pundits pronouncements on the Clinton campaigns dysfunction.

Its only February 2015, and the Clinton camp is already at each others throats, RNC press secretary Michael Short wrote in a blast to reporters. The infighting, reminiscent of the squabbling that helped sink Clintons failed 2008 bid, is having a negative impact on early fundraising (her Super PAC really is dead broke) and raising questions about Clintons ability to run a quality campaign this time around. And despite a coordinated public relations effort to stop the bleeding, the latest rift remains raw and wide.

Whats the key phrase in that barrage? Probably this: Its only February 2015.

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Election 2016: Hillary Clinton Already Target Of Republican Attacks; The 'Beltway Primary' Begins

Clinton Consults Experts to Chart Foreign-Policy Agenda

Voters arent seeing much of Hillary Clinton these days, leading some Democrats to wonder when their front-runner will enter the 2016 contest. Behind the scenes, she is prepping carefully for the race of her life.

Private meetings that shes held with various foreign-policy experts offer some hints as to how she might part ways with President Barack Obama when it comes to crises in Ukraine, Syria and other global trouble spots.Themajortakeaway from these private talks is that she wants a strategy more suited to shaping conditions overseas, as opposed to reacting to events as they arise, people familiar with the meetings said.

In these meetings,Mrs. Clintons habitis to go a round the room, asking questions and taking notes with pad and pen in hand.She has been looking for an analysis of current conditions and possible solutions but also a more proactive posture, some familiar with the meetings say.

Mr. Obama has seemed flat-footed at times in response to the Islamic States advances in Syria and Russian President Vladimir Putins aggressive moves to gain territory in Ukraine.

Theres a degree of concern that what were doing oftentimes looks to be reactive in response to what the problem of the moment is as opposed to what is the strategic approach and what might we be doing differently, said one person familiar with her thinking who requested anonymity.

As Secretary of State during Mr. Obamas first term, Mrs. Clinton played the role of loyal adviser in a foreign-policy apparatus that was run out of the White House; Mr. Obama was the one making the decisions.

It seems clear that if Mrs. Clinton wins the White House she would chart a different path than the one charted during the Obama administration.

In her 2014 book, Hard Choices, and in various speeches, Mrs. Clinton suggested she would have been more interventionist in Syria in 2012more willing than the president to arm moderate rebels in hopes of stopping the civil war. She has been unsparing in her criticism of Mr. Putin, likening territorial grabs in Ukraine to Adolph Hitlers aggression before World War II.

Shes much less risk-averse than Mr. Obama, said Aaron David Miller, vice president of the Woodrow Wilson Center for Scholars who has taken part in Mrs. Clintons foreign-policy briefings.

If she becomes president, Mrs. Clinton might have some latitude to pursue a more activist foreign policy.Context is everything.

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Clinton Consults Experts to Chart Foreign-Policy Agenda

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