Archive for February, 2015

Republicans lemmings over the cliff

Republicans won big in November on the hopes that a GOP-led Congress could counterbalance President Obamas imperial presidency.

But as the deadline approaches to fund the Department of Homeland Security (Feb. 27), it looks like Republicans would rather play chicken with Democrats than actually get something accomplished.

The House has passed a bill funding DHS that includes provisions to undo the presidents actions on immigration.

Even many of us who support comprehensive immigration reform, including giving some illegal immigrants the ability to earn legal status, have grave reservations about the presidents approach. His decision to use executive action to circumvent Congress is a dangerous precedent.

But this is something the courts should decide. A suit filed by 26 states is before a district court in Texas at the moment, and a decision could be handed down any day.

And the bigger issue is whether a fight over what to do about 11 million illegal immigrants now in the United States is worth risking national security for all the 320 million people who live here.

The threats to US security are real and they dont come from people who simply want to work here doing jobs most Americans shun.

Republicans have allowed themselves to walk into a trap, and they seem to have no idea how to extricate themselves.

Democrats may be the ones filibustering DHS funding, but dont count on the media or the public to blame them if DHS runs out of money at the end of the month.

The fact is, most recent polls show that a majority of Americans back the presidents policy to grant temporary relief from deportation to many illegal immigrants.

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Republicans lemmings over the cliff

Why Republicans Are Suddenly Talking about Economic Inequality

Bill Pugliano/Getty Images Jeb Bush, at an event in Detroit this month, gave a speech called Restoring the Right to Rise in America," another sign of Republicans' growing interest in the issue of inequality.

For decades, Democrats have been the party that emphasizes concerns about inequality. So why are many top Republicans including a number of the partys presidential hopefuls talking about the issue?

Issue ownership theories predict that parties and candidates will emphasize issues on which they have an advantage specifically, ones in which the public tends to see their party as more competent. For instance, Democrats historically own education and health care, while Republicans are typically seen as better on crime and national security. Given that the G.O.P. has prioritized economic growth and opportunity over distributional concerns in recent decades, we would therefore expect concerns about inequality to be voiced primarily by Democrats like Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, not Republicans.

Yet last week, Jeb Bush gave a speech in Detroit titled Restoring the Right to Rise in America the latestin a series of proposals and statements by top Republicans focusing on the rapid increase of income inequality in this country.

Though Republicans shift in emphasis has drawn some derisive commentary, its worth examining why one party might choose to trespass into territory associated with the other. Such a move may be necessary to address an issue that the public sees as especially important and to minimize the damage it can cause to a disadvantaged candidate or party. In his first presidential campaign, for instance, Bill Clinton successfully portrayed himself as tough on crime, defusing a highly salient issue that had been seen as a weakness of Democrats such as the partys 1988 presidential nominee, Michael Dukakis.

Along these lines, Mr. Obamas recent focus on inequality has helped make the issue more prominent in policy debates within Washington. But the issue is still not a top public concern in fact, fewer than half of Americans think the government should do a lot to address it.

A better explanation is that the G.O.P. needs a way to criticize President Obamas management of the economy. With more jobs being created, Republicans have been forced to shift to criticizing inequality and continued wage stagnation rather than a lack of economic growth.

Another reason candidates trespass into the other partys issues: They hope to be seen as less deficient in character traits associated with those issues. Research by the political scientist Danny Hayes finds in particular that Republican candidates who can successfully portray themselves as at least as compassionate or empathetic as their opponents can turn a traditional Democratic advantage into an electoral asset. George W. Bush, for instance, focused on the traditionally Democratic issue of education to bolster his credentials as a compassionate conservative. By contrast, the 2012 Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, was unusually poorly regarded on character traits such as empathy a possible consequence of criticism of his career at Bain Capital and a leaked video in which he described 47 percent of Americans as dependent on government.

The Republican focus on inequality could address this vulnerability by helping the party look more caring, reducing the G.O.P.s damaging reputation for caring only about the economic interests of the rich, as National Reviews Ramesh Ponnuru put it.

But there is risk in issue-trespassing of the sort that the Republicans are attempting. One political science study found that the strategy is rarely successful and that voters tend to rely on party stereotypes instead a conclusion that is reinforced by miscues like the infamous Dukakis tank ride. Democrats are already likening Jeb Bush to Mr. Romney in an attempt to buttress the stereotype of the G.O.P. as the party of the rich.

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Why Republicans Are Suddenly Talking about Economic Inequality

Republicans: We will get blamed for DHS shutdown

Republicans are getting pummeled in the messaging wars amid an escalating standoff over Homeland Security funding.

In interviews with The Hill, centrist Republicans are conceding that their party not the Democrats will be blamed if the critical agency shuts down at the end of the month.

If that were to happen, it would echo the Ted Cruz-led government shutdown of 2013 and the Newt Gingrich-led shutdowns of the 1990s, all of which turned public opinion against the GOP.

House and Senate Republicans are openly divided over a strategy to fund DHS, a fissure that has produced a round of intraparty fingerpointing at a time when GOP leaders are trying to prove they can govern.

The shutdown threat also comes during a period of heightened security concerns. Recent weeks have been dominated by headlines about killings and terrorist attacks by Islamic State extremists, including one Friday at an Iraqi base where U.S. Marines were training.

Meanwhile, Democrats are presenting a united front, calling for a so-called clean DHS funding bill free of any controversial GOP riders targeting President Obamas executive immigration actions.

More likely Republicans will be blamed. We control the House and the Senate, former Homeland Security Chairman Peter King (R-N.Y.) told The Hill on Friday. Americans know that we caused the last government shutdown, so we have the lasting specter of Ted Cruz hanging over us, he added.

Especially in New York, youre reading about ISIS, about Paris, reading about beheadings and people burned to death, and our response is to shut down Homeland Security? asked King, who lost more than 100 constituents in the 9/11 terrorist attacks.

Other Republicans have fresh memories of how the GOPs popularity plunged in the fall of 2013 after Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) rallied conservatives to shut down the federal government for 16 days in a failed bid to defund Obamacare.

Everytime the Republicans think our strategy is gonna work out politically and the president will be seen as the one who has stopped the workings of government, it has not worked that well for us and we have been the ones to blame, Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.) said. So Im optimistic in these coming days that we can find a way forward.

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Republicans: We will get blamed for DHS shutdown

2/10 Local and State progressives – Video


2/10 Local and State progressives

By: Jay Partridge

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2/10 Local and State progressives - Video

Jonathan afraid Buhari will jail him Obasanjo

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo on Saturday alleged that President Goodluck Jonathan had a grand plan to scuttle the coming elections for fear that if General Muhammadu Buhari(retd) of All Progressives Congress succeeds him, Buhari would send him to jail.

He said this at his Hilltop presidential residence in Abeokuta, Ogun State while talking with journalists. He said he broke his promise not to talk till after the elections because the elections were postponed.

Obasanjo spoke just as Nobel laureate and playwright, Prof. Wole Soyinka, warned President Goodluck Jonathan not to use security agencies to scuttle the current democratic dispensation.

Soyinkas warning to Jonathan was contained in a letter he sent to one of our correspondents on Saturday.

In another letter that was made public on Saturday, former chairman of the National Population Commission, Chief Festus Odimegwu, called on Jonathan to ensure that the polls were free and fair.

Obasanjo, who just returned from foreign trips, said, I believe the Presidents fear is particularly motivated by whom he sees as his likely successor, that is, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari. I believe people would have been telling him that Buhari is a hard man; he will fight corruption and he (Jonathan) may end up in jail if not in the grave. I think people would have told him that sort of thing and he is not the only one afraid of Buhari.

But Obasanjo said Buhari should have learnt his lessons and might not be contemplating sending people to jail to fight corruption.

If he has not learnt his lessons, he would be probably the most unlearning human being. Now if he has learnt his lessons, he will know that you do not fight corruption by putting people in jail for 200 years. This was done by my predecessor in office, Gen. Abdulsalami Abubakar. He recovered over $750m from Abachas estate without putting anybody in jail and without harming or hurting anybody.

When I took over, we recovered over $1.25bn from the same Abacha without hurting anybody and without harming anybody. What is rather unfortunate is the fact that our lawyer who is still alive, who was chasing this money all over the world, said to us that there was still well over $1bn to be recovered from the Abacha estate.

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Jonathan afraid Buhari will jail him Obasanjo